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Construction of "The Belt and Road FTA is represent the general trend
2016-04-13浏览次数:815
"The Belt and Road" in addition to the the Atlantic trade center is expected to form a new trade center and the Pacific, in Europe as the core of the world's third largest trade center. While speeding up the construction of the FTA network for Asia and Europe, and on the basis of the establishment of a free, fair and equitable global open multilateral trade and investment system construction, the final completion of the The Belt and Road FTA, when is the important path of implementation.
"The Belt and Road" top-level design plan has been released, "The Belt and Road" by the strategic conception into the development stage of comprehensive and pragmatic. Incremental reform to promote global stock reform, build cross regional, and even the global level of coordination and protection mechanism is imminent. From the future development trend, accelerate the construction of the free trade zone for the Asia Europe network, promote bilateral / multilateral negotiation FTA or BIT agreement, the implementation of multi / bilateral direct investment policy, and on the basis of the establishment of a free, fair and equitable global open multilateral trade and investment system construction, the final completion of the FTA is The Belt and Road "the implementation of the important path of.
"Belt and Road Initiative" is expected to build a new global economic cycle will be formed, in addition to the Atlantic and the Pacific trade trade center axis, new to Europe as the core of the world's third largest trade center.
According to the world bank data, from 1990 to 2013, the global trade, cross-border direct investment, the average annual growth rate of 7.8% and 9.7%, and the "The Belt and Road" in 65 countries over the same period the average annual growth rate reached 13.1% and 16.5% respectively; especially in the period after the international financial crisis in 2010 2013, "The Belt and Road related countries foreign trade, the net inflow of the average annual growth rate of 13.9% and 6.2% respectively, 4.6 percentage points and 3.4 percentage points higher than the global average. The next ten years, "The Belt and Road" export scale is expected to increase the proportion of about 1/3, China became a major trading and investment partners.
From the 1960s to the 1980s, from Japan to the "four little dragons of Asia" to ASEAN, East Asia countries and regions through industry followed by gradient transfer, vigorously develop the export-oriented economy, forming a to realize the economic take-off of the "Flying Geese Model". In the 1980s, developed in Asia to Japan as the leading wild goose mode, Japan in the advanced industrial structure occupy the top and newly industrialized economies in the second gradient, China and ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian nations as the third gradient. Three gradients are characterized by technology intensive and high value-added industries, capital technology intensive industries and labor-intensive industries. With the upgrading of China's industrial structure and the Japanese economy continued to decline, in the past to Japan for the first Asian industrial division of labor and industrial transfer mode is gradually being broken. According to the natural resource endowment of labor cost and the comparative advantage, the next 5 years, China's labor intensive industry and capital intensive industry is expected to turn to "The Belt and Road" around and along the country, drive along the national industrial upgrading and industrialization level rise, build our country as the first new goose goose model. We need to fully tap the "The Belt and Road" regional national economic complementarity, establish and improve the supply chain, industry chain and value chain, promoting the economic integration of Pan Asia and europe.
However, the "The Belt and Road" countries along the uneven levels of development, the interests of different countries, the relationship between the perplexing, it may lead to a country between the new "order for", the pattern of "struggle", "especially when The Belt and Road" into the construction of regional security to high risk areas. So, "as the strategic innovation of the hitherto unknown The Belt and Road", is also facing the hitherto unknown risks and challenges. Strengthen regional trade and investment cooperation, but also to overcome many of the high intensity problems.
First of all, the overall level of regional development and market size is relatively low. According to the statistics of 57 major countries, the results show that in 2013 the per capita GDP level of less than 10 thousand U.S. dollars (the world's average level is 10500 U.S. dollars), the country has 35. The population of these countries is up to, accounting for 55.33% of the world, but only 20% of the global GDP; per capita GDP is equivalent to 76.5% of the average level of this region, the global average of 35.7%. Secondly, the construction of high level economic integration lags behind. Although the large population in the Silk Road area and near in distance, with deepening economic relations each other between the favorable conditions, but due to the huge differences in the level of economic development, complex geopolitical reasons, lack to the members of the region, has represented a wide range of multilateral trade arrangements and effective cooperation mechanism, which restricts the breadth and the depth of cooperation in the region. Secondly, compared with the EU, NAFTA and ASEAN and other regions, "The Belt and Road" relevant countries for countries in the region's exports and imports in total foreign trade in the proportion of relatively low, excessive reliance on external markets, greater risk of regional economic fluctuations, there may be competition between regional economies and drama overall, the income level of regional trade down. Also, "The Belt and Road" regional national economic and trade cooperation is still in the initial stage. New Eurasian railway passing through many countries and different gauge, rail time-consuming consumption, national port cooperation mechanism has not yet formed, traffic convenience degree is not enough, logistics, high cost, poor port facilities in some countries, an increase of degree of difficulty of the mutual flow of goods and services.
Therefore, "The Belt and Road" strategy of the real ground, must be based on innovative ideas and rules, establish cross regional coordination mechanism, do fine intergovernmental cooperation, establishment of bilateral or multilateral interaction can be accepted, and operational scheme, to improve system security. For example, to build the bilateral, multilateral, supplemented by the government between exchange mechanism, the establishment of "revenue sharing, risk sharing" new governance mechanism; and national development strategies of effective docking; of countries with strong willingness to cooperate, jointly set up a cooperative planning team as soon as possible the construction of a number of positive results of the cooperation of a typical project; pay attention to fully coordinate and integrate the existing of the SCO, the BRICs mechanism, APEC, Asia, China and ASEAN "10 + 1", RCEP, the Eurasian Union, and is actively promoting the free trade area of the Asia Pacific (FTAAP) and regional organizations and mechanisms.
At present, our country in the establishment of the free trade area in 20, involving 32 countries and regions. Which has signed a free trade agreement in 12, involving 20 countries and regions, respectively, and the ASEAN Free Trade Agreement, Singapore, New Zealand, Pakistan, Chile, Peru, Costa Rica, Iceland and Switzerland, Hongkong, Macao and the mainland for closer economic and trade relations (CEPA), as well as the mainland and Taiwan strait the economic cooperation framework agreement (ECFA), have been implemented; are negotiating free trade agreements in 8, involving 23 countries, respectively, in cooperation with South Korea, the Gulf Council (GCC), a free trade agreement with Australia, Norway and Sri Lanka, Japan and South Korea free trade agreement, "the regional comprehensive economic partnership" (RCEP) agreement, and build Chinese ASEAN Free Trade Agreement ("10+1") upgrade. Accordingly, the future will gradually form a high standard FTA network based on the surrounding radiation, "The Belt and Road" regional, global, and the final completion of the The Belt and Road "free trade area (FTA).